Boom Best
Melbourne -18.5 v Brisbane ($1.90)
Melbourne have a tremendous record against Brisbane with four straight wins and five straight covers against the Lions. These teams met in Round 23 and the Demons decimated the Lions with a 58-point win at the Gabba. The last four wins have all been by 22-plus. Expect the classy Melbourne team to run away for a comfortable win.
Boom-o-meter: 90%
Boom Total
Over 165.5 Melbourne-Brisbane ($1.90)
Lions games are nearly always wide-open. They come off a 210-point clash with the Tigers and when these two met in the last round the total made up 172. Five of the last six Brisbane games have hit at least 172. The last four Demons games have hit 153 so they are not a full lockdown team.
Boom-o-meter: 75%
Boom Value
Bayley Fritsch 3+ Goals ($2.40)
Fritsch has not only been in a rich vein of form but has been super consistent. He kicked four when the the Lions met last time and has at least three in each of his last three against Brisbane. He has booted at least three goals in nine of his last 15 appearances.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
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