Boom Best
Sydney -29.5 v GWS ($1.90)
The Swans have had the best of this matchup in recent years with four covers in their last six meetings but the gulf between these two makes this look like a one-way go. The Giants have been held to 59 or fewer in their last three, all losses of 36 or more. Sydney have three straight wins with their last three home wins all being by 33 or more.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Total
Under 162.5 Adelaide-Carlton ($1.90)
Carlton games have very much skewed to the lower-scoring side this season. Their last two have tallied 144 and 140 and six of their last eight have failed to break 152. Three of the last four between these two have tallied 156 or fewer.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
Boom Value
Western Bulldogs ($3.20) v Geelong
Geelong have stamped themselves as flag favourites as they play some sensational footy but they face a difficult test on Saturday night. The Bulldogs have played the Cats well in recent years with the last four contests all decided by 16 points or fewer. The Bulldogs have a win in that run and come off a very impressive victory over Melbourne.
Boom-o-meter: 50%
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