SATURDAY NRL BOOMS

Boom Best
Over 41.5 Roosters-Dragons ($1.90)
The over looks a good bet with a forecast fast track at Gosford, a ground that has thrown up an over in four of the last five games there. The over hits at 62% when the Roosters are off a loss and 59% when they are favoured by more than a converted try. The over hits at 59% when the Dragons play an afternoon game and is 6-3 when they are off a loss of 13-plus. 
Boom-o-meter: 80%

Boom Value
Newcastle ($3.20) v Manly
Newcastle have a strong recent record against Manly with three wins in their last four meetings. Manly are vulnerable at Brookvale with just 6 covers in their last 16 and just 3 of 9 as a favourite of 6.5 or more. The Knights bounce back off a bad defensive showing. They are over the odds this week. 
Boom-o-meter: 60%

Boom Boom
Beau Fermor To Score A Try ($4.20)
Titans edge backrower Beau Fermor is an underrated tryscorer with 11 tries in 31 starts. He has scored in five of 15 this year with his last try in Round 15 against Cronulla. Brisbane have conceded to a backrower in four of six. 
Boom-o-meter: 60%

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