Best Bet
Brisbane -17.5 v Western Bulldogs ($1.90)
The Lions have dropped three of their last five so will be looking to turn their form around after a brutal loss to the Dees. They have won all six at the Gabba this year though with their last four all by more than 14. The Bulldogs have won five of their last six but have failed to cover both games this season as an underdog.
Boom-o-meter: 75%
Best Total
Over 175.5 Brisbane Lions-Western Bulldogs ($1.95)
These two have a long history of high-scoring games. The over is 11-5 in the 16 games since 2012 with an average total of 186.4. The over is 9-5 in Bulldogs games and 9-5 in Lions games this year. Lions games average 179.6. This game projects to sail over.
Boom-o-meter: 85%
Best Value
Joe Daniher 3+ Goals ($2.50)
Daniher has booted 23.13 this year and has kicked at least three goals in six of nine games. In his last five games he has had four with at least five shots on goal. The $2.50 on offer is over th eodds.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
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