HORSE RACING
Best Bet
Morphettville Race 4 (1.47pm)
3 Extra Time ($3.20)
Comes into this off two excellent runs. Swept home last start to just miss. Drawn better here.
Boom-o-meter: 85%
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NRL
Best Bet
Over 42.5 Wests Tigers v Manly ($1.88)
The total in this clash is just way too low. These two have averaged 47.5 when they have met since 2008 with the over hit in 27 of 23 clashes. The last five have all topped 44 points. Manly have gone over in 15 of 22 away from Brookvale. The over is 29-17 when the Tigers are off scoring 18-plus.
Boom-o-meter: 95%
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AFL
Best Bet
GWS -32.5 v North Melbourne ($1.90)
Taking on North Melbourne is almost risk-free at this point. Going backwards they have lost by 62, 53, 47, 69, 78, 50, 60 and 58. The Giants may not be flying but their talent is more than enough to get away with a comfortable win against North. The best guide is their 52-point win at home over West Coast in Round 10.
Boom-o-meter: 95%
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NBA
Best Bet
Boston -4.5 v Golden State ($1.90)
Boston enter Game 4 up two games to one after a dominant 16-point win in Game 3 back on home court. The Celtics ran out comfortable winners despite another Warriors dominant third quarter and Klay Thompson returning to form. Steph Curry likely plays Game 4 but comes in carrying a foot injury. Boston have covered 13 of 18 off allowing 100-plus points. Golden State have covered one of seven on the road.
Boom-o-meter: 85%
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