Boom Best
Hawthorn +10.5 v Collingwood ($1.90)
Some maxims well worth following: Collingwood are awful bets when favoured and particularly awful when favoured at the MCG. The Pies cover at just 42% as a favourite and have covered just two of 12 in the spot. As a double digit favourite they have covered at just 39%. As a double digit favourite at the MCG they cover at just 35%. The Hawks are a quality bet.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Total
Under 160.5 Fremantle-Brisbane ($1.90)
The total is almost never low enough when Fremantle play at Optus. It has gone under in 18 of 25 including six of seven this year and 10 of their last 12. The Lions are the premier offensive juggernaut this season but a twilight game at Optus against Freo should be going under the total.
Boom-o-meter: 90%
Boom Value
Brody Mihocek 3+ Goals ($2.50)
Mihocek has beena goal machine this year with 21. He kicks straight with a 21.10 record. He has three games kicking three-plus goals and comes up against a team that has struggled defensively. He has seven goals in three games against the Hawks.
Boom-o-meter: 60%
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