HORSE RACING
Best Bet
Flemington Race 7 (3.30pm)
10 Point Nepean ($4.00)
Team Williams import who has won his last two since getting to 2400m and beyond. Excellent at Bendigo two runs back and showed a lot of fight last time.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
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NBA
Best Bet
Memphis +8.5 at Golden State ($1.90)
Golden State were utterly humiliated on Thursday with Memphis saving the series with a stunning home win. While the series is likely to end in Game 6 with no Ja Morant, Memphis can keep this close. They never say die. Golden State have covered just 1 of 7 as a favourite and 1 of 6 off a double digit loss. Memphis have covered 19 of 26 as an underdog.
Boom-o-meter: 9
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NRL
Best Bet
Cronulla -11.5 ($1.88) v Canberra
Cronulla have been outstanding covering big starts, covering 10 of 14 as a double digit favourite, including last weekend when shorthanded. The Sharks have covered 12 of 18 off scoring 18-plus and 17 of 24 day games. The Raiders have covered just 5 of 20 away from Canberra Stadium and none of their last seven day games.
Boom-o-meter: 90%
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AFL
Best Bet
Port Adelaide -37.5 ($1.90) v North Melbourne
North Melbourne are not only horrendous but they are lacking the toughness we saw the last few years where they made a habit of covering big lines. They have lost their last four by 78, 50, 60 and 68. It is time to just bet against them with confidence. Port have covered four of five when favoured by more than five goals and should get the job done this week.
Boom-o-meter: 85%
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