Boom Best
Miami +1.5 ($2.02) v Philadelphia
Miami are a strong underdog team who can be bet here after being stunned by Joel Embiid’s return in Game 3. The Heat have covered 11 of their last 15 overall, 17 of their last 24 as an underdog and 14 of their last 20 off a loss. Miami have covered 8 of their last 11 against Philadelphia.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Outsider
1st Half Winning Margin – Miami 1-5 ($4.25)
Both Miami and Philadelphia have similar first half offensive metrics but the Heat are notably stronger defensively, ranking 3rd in opponent first half points scored against Philadelphia’s 13th. This is going to be a tight game and Miami have a slight first half edge.
Boom-o-meter: 35%
Boom Total
Under 207.5 ($1.90) Miami-Philadelphia
The under has hit in six of the last eight Heat-Sixers meetings and another low-scorer is on the cards. The under has hit in seven of eight Miami overall and in four of five when they are an underdog. The under has hit in five straight games when Philadelphia are favoured and is 37-18 when Philadelphia take on teams with a .600 or better record.
Boom-o-meter: 65%
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