Boom Best
Essendon +17.5 v Western Bulldogs ($1.90)
The Bombers have dropped their last two but look excellent value getting a big start against the oveerrateed Western Bulldogs. The Bombers have covered 12 of 18 as an underdog at Marvel while the Dogs are a horrid 13-27 against the spread at Marvel when favoured by more than two goals.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Total
Over 163.5 Sydney-Brisbane ($1.90)
The over has typically been a quality play at the SCG during afternoon/twilight conditions. Those games go over at a clip of 59%. Brisbane have gone over in five of their last seven away from the Gabba.
Boom-o-meter: 85%
Boom Outsider
Gold Coast ($2.55) v Collingwood
Collingwood are nearly always overrated at the MCG, covering at just 44%, and that is more so when they are favoured by more than two goals with their cover rate dropping to a poro 35%. Gold Coast have covered five of their last seven at the ground.
Boom-o-meter: 60%
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