Boom Best
Fremantle +1.5 v Essendon ($1.90)
The Bombers are just small favourites but they have a dreadful record when short in betting. The Bombers cover at just 40% when favoured, the worst cover record in the AFL over the last decade. Fremantle have a great record at Marvel, covering at 62% at the venue. Confidence is high on the Dockers.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Total
Under 165.5 Carlton-Port Adelaide ($1.90)
Port have gone under the total in seven of their last 10 at the MCG. The Blues have gone under in five of their last seven at the MCG and in six of eight when they are favoured. With the chance of rain around on Sunday, the under looks the play.
Boom-o-meter: 60%
Boom Value
Jack Silvagni 2+ Goals ($2.40)
Silvagni has been right in the goal hunt for the Blues with six goals and 11 shots on goal from four games. He has booted hauls of two and three this year. As big favourites against a defensively weak side, Silvagni can bag another multi-goal haul.
Boom-o-meter: 60%
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