Boom Best
Collingwood +14.5 v Geelong ($1.88)
Collingwood have an excellent recent record against the Cats and look a strong play this week. Collingwood have covered 10 of 15 against Geelong while they are 32-16 against the number getting more than two goals. Geelong are 6-15 against the number as a favourite of more than two goals at the MCG.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Total
Over 165.5 Brisbane-North Melbourne
The over has hit in 7 of 11 Brisbane games when they are favoured by more than 30 points. The over hits at 65% when the Lions are off scoring 95-plus points. The over has hit in four of five North games off a win.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
Boom Value
Hawthorn ($2.40) v Carlton
The Hawks have an excellent recent record at the MCG with 12 covers in their last 16 showings. As an underdog at the ground, Hawthorn cover at a clip of 64%. Carlton cover at just 44% when favoured and the weight of expectation rarely sits well with the club.
Boom-o-meter: 60%
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