Boom Best
Carlton +9.5 v Western Bulldogs ($1.91)
Carlton were outstanding in Round 1 and with another week of distraction for the Bulldogs the Blues look a bet again. Early smart money has poured in for the Blues and this is a good spot for them with Carlton covering at a clip of 60% when an underdog in Melbourne. The Bulldogs cover at just 34% as a favourite at Marvel including just five of their last 18.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
Boom Total
Under 143.5 Sydney-Geelong ($1.85)
Some diabolical Sydney weather has seen this total drop by three goals from the opening line but it is still tremendous value. Night games played in wet weather go under at a remarkable 81% while the under is nearly always the play in night games at the SCG. The under has hit in 13 of 15 when the Cats are interstate underdogs.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Value
SGM: Bontempelli 25+ Disposals and Goal/Cripps 25+ Disposals and Goal ($6.00)
Bontemtpelli has 25+ touches in 20 of his last 27 games and has kicked a goal in 17 of his last 27. Cripps started the season on fire with 30 touches and three goals and a repeat of that showing is not out of the realm this week.
Boom-o-meter: 50%
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