Boom Best
Essendon +5.5 v Geelong ($1.90)
Geelong are typically a lay when favoured, covering at just 45% when the shortie in betting. That win rate drops dramatically at the MCG though, covering at just 32% when a favourite at the home of football. Essendon have covered five of their last six at the MCG and cover at 61% as an underdog at the venue.
Boom-o-meter: 75%
Boom Total
Over 157.5 Hawthorn-North Melbourne ($1.90)
Both the Hawks and Kangas are strong over teams at the MCG. The Hawks go over the total at 53% at the MCG while that boosts to 59% when they are favoured. North go over at 62% at the MCG including 64% of day games.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
Boom Value
Dayne Zorko 2+ Goals Lions-Power ($3.75)
Ball-winning veteran Dayne Zorko has kicked more goals against Port than any team with the exception of Gold Coast, kicking 18 at a rate of 1.5 per game. He has had 11 games with multiple goals across the last three seasons. The Lions are heavily favoured against Port and Zorko should get plenty of looks.
Boom-o-meter: 30%
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