Boom Best
Carlton +12.5 v Richmond ($1.82)
Richmond were awful as a favourite last year. They went 4-12 against the number when favoured last year. When favoured at the MCG, the Tigers covered just 3 of 14. Carlton have a great cover record at the MCG cover at 62%, which bumps up to 64% as a double digit underdog. Carlton have been heavily bet and should be covering.
Boom-o-meter: 80%
Boom Total
Under 161.5 Melbourne-Western Bulldogs ($1.90)
Melbourne are a huge under team at the MCG. They go under at a clip of 61% at the ground while they have gone under at the ground in 12 of their last 16. The Bulldogs have gone under in four of their last five at the MCG and they go under at 55% when an underdog.
Boom-o-meter: 70%
Boom Value
Lachie Hunter Anytime Goal Melbourne-Western Bulldogs ($4.00)
Hunter has 71 goals in AFL football at 0.44 per game and booted 10 last year in his second biggest haul. He has also kicked more goals against Melbourne with nine than any other opponent. Looks plenty of value to boot a goal in the Grand Final rematch.
Boom-o-meter: 60%
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